Post-Brexit Credit Rating Agency Regulation Decided: The Correct Call?
In 2017, this author produced an article that examined the
potential regulatory framework that exists in the UK where Credit Rating
Agencies are concerned (later
published in 2018). We spoke about this issue here
in Financial Regulation Matters, where
we discussed how there may be a need to incorporate sole regulatory
responsibility within one of the regulatory bodies should the UK be unable to
come to a ‘deal’ with their EU partners. As part of the EU (Withdrawal) Act,
the Government has recently come to a decision regarding which body would be
responsible for regulating the CRAs in the wake of a no-deal Brexit, and it
confirms the findings of the article. However, it is worth revisiting this
developing story to examine what the consequences of such a decision may be.
It has been decided, as the original article produced by
this author predicted, that
the Financial Conduct Authority would be the regulatory body charged with
supervising the credit rating industry, should the UK be unable to
negotiate a post-Brexit deal with the EU. In a very short document, the FCA
state that a draft Statutory Instrument will transfer the regulatory
responsibility to the FCA from the ESMA, and change the FCA’s role from ‘competent
authority’ to that of principal regulator. Also, there is no details made
available regarding the fees the CRAs would be charged, and the proposed
timeline advanced by the FCA describes how a consultation
of applicable technical standards for CRAs will be made available from the
9th of October , and that the application window for CRAs wishing to
transfer their registration status to the FCA will open from ‘early 2019’. In
the FCA’s ‘Business Plan’, they do discuss how the resources required for ‘onshoring’
the CRAs will be derived from the CRAs themselves via levies and fees, with the
suggestion being that the required
level of resources may be around £6m.
As we discussed in the associated post from 2017, the FCA
was always going to be the likely regulator selected for this task. The fear
from the business media was that there would be the need for a ‘cobbled-together’
regulatory framework to govern the rating agencies, but in reality the CRAs are
accommodated much easier within the FCA than any other regulator, and offer a
much cheaper alternative than creating a new regulator. The FCA was the
regulator of choice for the CRAs themselves, who were rightly worried that to
go unregulated would cause massive problems for their business, and their
users. The FT also suggested that there may be an issue of regulatory imbalance
between the FCA and the ESMA from the perspective of the EU, but with the FCA
acting as a competent authority since its inception in this realm, this is
unlikely to be the case in reality. However, the real issue is not whether the
process is smooth or not, but whether the FCA is the right regulator for the
job.
In truth, the FCA is the best placed regulator amongst the
British regulatory framework for the job. Yet, this does not mean that it will
be successful in doing so. Rather, it is feared that the FCA will struggle with
what is a massive task in regulating such an industry. We have covered the FCA
so many times here in Financial
Regulation Matters it is difficult to select an appropriate link to a post,
but this
post that examines whether the FCA is ‘soft’, or has its hands tied, is a
snapshot of the problems surrounding the FCA. Its performance this year has not
been good at all, and its performance regarding RBS and the GRG Unit
specifically leaves a particularly sour taste in the mouth. In terms of
Gatekeepers, the FRC is tasked with regulating the audit industry (and is not
doing a great job, as evidenced by persistent transgressions by those firms),
and now the FCA may have to regulate another Gatekeeper. The fear is that a lax
regulatory approach is the last thing
required when regulating the credit rating agencies, because they have the
capacity to transgress and cause serious damage, as evidenced by the Big Two’s
recent and record fines. Does the FCA have the authority to properly regulate
an oligopolistic powerhouse like the credit rating industry? It seemingly does
not have the authority to properly regulate the banking industry, so by
deduction it is difficult to see how it may properly regulate the Credit Rating
industry. One aspect that does not aid in this vision of the FCA having
regulatory authority is its extraordinarily limited range of penalising
options, which would need to be addressed if it were tasked with regulating the
rating industry – fines of a few hundred thousand pounds will not suffice with
this industry.
Yet, there is scope for development. The FCA could learn
from the experiences within the US, where the SEC were tasked with developing
an ‘Office for Credit Ratings’ but performed woefully in doing so (it was not
even staffed for 12 months). In attempting to learn such lessons, the
development of a dedicated office, or ‘spearhead’ for the FCA would be
positive, and allow the FCA to accelerate its understanding of this tremendously
complex relationship that exists elsewhere between CRAs and regulators – the FCA
have no experience in this regard. Whilst the risk of ‘capture’ is increased
with the creation of a dedicated ‘office’, in reality that risk is probably no
greater than the general risk of ‘capture’ between a highly specialised and
oligopolistic sector and its regulator.
Ultimately, the FCA is the right regulator to be selected
from the framework, but this does not mean that it is the right regulator. In the event of a no-deal Brexit, there would need
to be organisational changes within the FCA to cope with this new burden. Any
political or regulatory belief that one can simply just transfer the
registration from the EU and continue to regulate effectively is massively
misplaced, and will be taken advantage of – such oligopolistic sectors thrive
on such regulatory arbitrage, and the post-Brexit environment is both primed
for such arbitrage, but also incredibly vulnerable to the effects of regulatory
arbitrage. British society has been consistently placed under severe pressure
since the Crisis, and a period of upheaval borne from financial actors taking
advantage of gaps in the marketplace could be massively detrimental.
Keywords – FCA, Credit Rating Agencies, Business, Politics,
UK, EU, Brexit, @finregmatters
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